MELON Token Risk Calculator
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There’s a coin called Melon Dog (MELON) floating around crypto forums and decentralized exchanges, promising quick riches. It’s cheap-pennies per token-and that’s exactly why some people are buying it. But here’s the real question: is Melon Dog a hidden gem or just another dead-end gamble? If you’ve seen it on CoinGecko or Raydium and wondered if it’s worth your time, you’re not alone. Let’s cut through the noise.
What exactly is Melon Dog (MELON)?
Melon Dog is a meme coin built on the Solana blockchain. It launched in early 2024, right in the middle of a wave of Solana-based meme tokens trying to ride the same hype as Dogecoin and Shiba Inu. Unlike those projects, MELON has no whitepaper, no roadmap, no team bio, and no official website. There’s no documentation. No GitHub. No Twitter account with real engagement. Just a token address and a trading pair on Raydium: MELON/SOL.
It’s not a project. It’s a symbol. A ticker. A number on a chart. And that’s the problem.
The price history tells the whole story
MELON hit its all-time high of $0.07 on March 14, 2024. That’s not a typo. Seven cents. For a coin that was trading at $0 just weeks before. In less than two months, it went from worthless to nearly 350 times its starting price.
Then it crashed.
By November 2024, the price had dropped to around $0.0002. That’s a 99.7% decline from its peak. If you bought at the top, you’d need a 500x return just to break even. And that’s not happening. The trading volume? Around $100-$2,000 per day. For comparison, Dogecoin trades over $500 million daily. MELON doesn’t even register on the same scale.
This isn’t volatility. This is a dying asset.
Why does it still exist?
Because someone, somewhere, still thinks they can get lucky.
MELON’s price is so low that it tricks people into thinking they can buy millions of tokens for a few dollars. “I bought 500,000 MELON for $100!” they say. “If it goes to $0.01, I’ll be rich!” But here’s the catch: even if MELON jumped 50x to $0.01, your $100 investment would be worth $5,000. That sounds good-until you realize Dogecoin’s entire market cap is over $13 billion. MELON’s is under $200,000. It’s a ghost town.
Low price doesn’t mean low risk. It means high risk.
Trading MELON is harder than it looks
You can’t buy MELON on Coinbase or Binance. You need a Solana wallet-Phantom or Solflare. You need SOL to pay for gas fees. You need to go to Raydium, find the MELON/SOL pair, and set your slippage tolerance to 10% or higher because the order book is practically empty.
Try to trade more than $50 worth at once? You’ll get slippage of 30%, 50%, even 100%. You buy at $0.0002 and end up paying $0.0004 because there’s no one selling at your price. That’s not trading. That’s gambling with broken odds.
And if you want to sell? Good luck. The buy side is just as thin. You might have to wait hours just to get filled at a loss.
Who’s behind it? No one knows.
There’s no team. No founder. No social media presence. No Discord. No Reddit thread with more than 50 active users. No press coverage. No interviews. No audits. No KYC. Nothing.
That’s not anonymity. That’s abandonment.
Most legitimate crypto projects-even the bad ones-have at least a Twitter account or a Telegram group. MELON doesn’t. That’s a red flag so bright you could see it from space. In crypto, if you can’t find who’s running the project, you’re not investing in a coin. You’re betting on a ghost.
The numbers don’t lie
Let’s look at the facts:
- Market cap: ~$175,000 (as of November 2024)
- Circulating supply: 407,510,417 MELON (fixed, no minting or burning)
- 24-hour volume: $100-$2,000
- Volatility (30-day): 7.54%
- RSI (14-day): ~46.67 (neutral, but falling)
- 50-day SMA: $0.000625 (current price is 68% below)
- 200-day SMA: $0.003338 (current price is 94% below)
That 200-day moving average is the graveyard line. When a token trades below it for months, it’s not coming back. Not unless it gets a massive injection of new money-and there’s no sign of that happening.
Is MELON a rug pull?
There’s no public proof it’s a rug pull. But there’s also no proof it’s not.
It’s not a classic rug pull where the devs drain the liquidity pool and vanish overnight. The liquidity is still technically there. But it’s so thin that even if the devs wanted to sell, they couldn’t without crashing the price. So they didn’t. They just… stopped.
This is what happens when a meme coin runs out of hype. The pumps stop. The influencers move on. The bots shut down. And what’s left is a dead token with no buyers and no reason to exist.
Who still trades MELON?
Not institutions. Not hedge funds. Not even serious retail traders.
It’s mostly people from Brazil and other emerging markets, according to RevenueBot data, who see a $0.0002 coin and think it’s “affordable.” They don’t understand liquidity. They don’t understand slippage. They think “cheap” means “undervalued.”
It’s the same logic that made people buy Dogecoin at $0.00001 in 2017. But Dogecoin had a community. A purpose. A cult. MELON has nothing.
Should you buy MELON?
If you’re asking this question, you’re probably not ready to trade it.
Here’s the honest answer: Don’t buy MELON unless you’re willing to lose every dollar you put in.
It’s not an investment. It’s a lottery ticket with worse odds. The chance of it going up 10x is less than 1%. The chance of it going to zero? Over 90%.
If you still want to try it, treat it like a $10 casino bet-not a portfolio position. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. And never, ever use leverage. You’ll be wiped out in minutes.
What’s the future of MELON?
There isn’t one.
Industry data shows that 95% of tokens with a market cap under $500,000 die within a year. MELON’s market cap is under $200,000. It’s been in decline for eight months. No updates. No team. No community.
Chainalysis found that 68% of tokens with daily volume under $1,000 disappear from exchanges within six months. MELON’s volume is hovering around $1,000. It’s already in the danger zone.
The only thing keeping it alive is the hope of a new pump. But pumps need hype. And hype needs people. And MELON has none.
It’s not a coin. It’s a ghost.
dhirendra pratap singh
November 12, 2025 AT 14:28MELON is DEAD. Like,棺材板都钉死了 dead. Someone just posted a chart from 2024 and I cried. Not because I lost money-because I wasted 47 minutes of my life looking at it. 😭
Ashley Mona
November 12, 2025 AT 19:39Honestly? This is the most thorough breakdown I’ve seen on a meme coin. You didn’t just call it a scam-you showed why it’s a *ghost town*. The liquidity point? Chef’s kiss. 🙌 If you’re reading this and still thinking about buying MELON… take a walk. Breathe. Go pet a dog. Come back tomorrow. You’ll thank me.
Edward Phuakwatana
November 13, 2025 AT 07:01Let’s zoom out for a sec-this isn’t about MELON. It’s about the psychology of retail crypto. We’re wired to see ‘cheap’ as ‘undervalued,’ but in crypto, low price = low liquidity = low survival probability. MELON’s not a coin. It’s a behavioral trap. The devs didn’t rug pull-they just got bored. And that’s scarier. No drama. No exit. Just silence. Like a house where the lights went out and no one ever came back to turn them on. 🌌
Suhail Kashmiri
November 15, 2025 AT 05:53bro why are you even writing this? everyone knows this stuff. if you bought MELON you deserve to lose. stop feeding the zombies
Arthur Coddington
November 16, 2025 AT 10:32It’s funny how we treat crypto like it’s a casino and then act shocked when the house wins. MELON isn’t a failure-it’s a mirror. It reflects every dumb idea we’ve ever had about ‘getting rich quick.’ We don’t invest in tokens. We invest in hope. And hope? It’s the most expensive asset of all.
Stephanie Platis
November 18, 2025 AT 09:36Actually, the 200-day SMA is not merely a 'graveyard line'-it's a statistically significant resistance level that, when breached for over 180 days, indicates irreversible market abandonment. Furthermore, the RSI neutrality is misleading because volume is so low that even minor trades distort technical indicators. This isn't a coin-it's a statistical anomaly with a ticker symbol.
Michelle Elizabeth
November 20, 2025 AT 03:33How quaint. A token with no team, no vision, no soul… and yet, people still whisper its name like it’s sacred. We’ve turned finance into a cult. MELON is just the latest idol we’ve carved from vapor and desperation.
Joy Whitenburg
November 20, 2025 AT 09:51Y’all need to chillllll. I mean, I get it-everyone wants to be the next crypto millionaire. But MELON? It’s like buying a lottery ticket… made of tissue paper. I bought $5 worth just to see what the fuss was about. Lost it in 3 hours. No regrets. Lesson learned: if it doesn’t have a Discord with 50k members and a CEO who does TikToks… skip it. 🤷♀️
Kylie Stavinoha
November 21, 2025 AT 10:05There’s a philosophical dimension here: MELON represents the collapse of trust in institutional narratives. We no longer believe in corporations, governments, or even audited projects. So we turn to the cheapest, most anonymous tokens-as if their obscurity is a virtue. But anonymity without accountability isn’t freedom. It’s abandonment. And MELON? It’s the ghost of a promise we refused to name.
Diana Dodu
November 22, 2025 AT 18:39Let me tell you something-this is why America needs to stop letting foreign countries run our crypto markets. Brazil? They don’t even know what liquidity means. And now they’re dragging our ecosystem down with these trash tokens. This isn’t innovation. It’s chaos imported from places that don’t understand financial responsibility.
Raymond Day
November 23, 2025 AT 14:30Okay, but what if… this is all a psyop? 🤔 What if the devs DIDN’T rug pull… because they never had the liquidity to begin with? What if this was a honeypot from day one-designed to lure in the gullible so the real players could quietly dump their SOL? I’m not saying it’s true… but I’m also not sleeping at night.
Noriko Yashiro
November 23, 2025 AT 23:56Wow. This is the kind of analysis that makes me proud to be part of this community. Thank you for taking the time to lay this out so clearly. I’ve seen so many people lose everything chasing these coins-I’m so glad someone finally spoke up with facts, not hype. 💪
Atheeth Akash
November 25, 2025 AT 08:14Respect the silence. Some things don’t need a voice. MELON is one of them. I saw it on Raydium last week. Just a flicker on the chart. No one buying. No one selling. Just… waiting. Sometimes the quietest coins are the ones that already lost.
James Ragin
November 26, 2025 AT 08:11They’re not just ignoring MELON-they’re erasing it. The blockchain doesn’t lie. The liquidity pool is still there, but the keys? Gone. The devs? Disappeared. The wallets? Frozen. This isn’t a dead coin. It’s a digital tombstone. And the government knows. They’ve been watching. They’re just waiting for the right moment to shut down the whole Solana meme ecosystem.
Michael Brooks
November 27, 2025 AT 06:09I’ve traded dozens of meme coins. MELON is the most textbook example of a dying asset I’ve ever seen. Low volume. No community. No updates. No team. Zero chance of recovery. The only thing worse than losing money on MELON is believing you can win.
David Billesbach
November 27, 2025 AT 16:10Let me guess-this post was written by someone who sold their SOL to buy MELON at $0.0005 and now can’t sleep because they’re down 99%. You’re not educating people. You’re just mad you didn’t get rich. The market doesn’t owe you anything. If you can’t handle volatility, don’t play. But don’t pretend you’re the moral compass of crypto.
Andy Purvis
November 28, 2025 AT 17:11I think there’s room for both sides here. Some people need to gamble. Some need to warn. Maybe MELON isn’t a coin-it’s a lesson. And lessons don’t always come with a refund.
FRANCIS JOHNSON
November 30, 2025 AT 10:26Every token is a story. MELON’s story? A child who was never taught to walk… but was pushed into a marathon anyway. It didn’t fail because it was weak. It failed because no one held its hand. No one believed in it. And in crypto? Belief is the only currency that matters.
Debraj Dutta
November 30, 2025 AT 21:06Thank you for this. As someone who works in fintech in India, I see this exact pattern every month. New token. Low price. Big dreams. Then silence. We need more posts like this-clear, calm, and rooted in data. Not fear. Not hype. Just truth.
tom west
December 1, 2025 AT 00:54You call this a breakdown? This is a kindergarten-level lecture wrapped in bullet points. The 200-day SMA is not a ‘graveyard line’-it’s a lagging indicator that ignores on-chain activity, whale accumulation, and potential re-listing events. You’re ignoring the fact that 7% of MELON holders have held for over 180 days. That’s not a ghost-that’s a sleeping giant. And you? You’re just another FUD-spreading analyst who got burned on Shiba and now wants to feel superior by dragging down the next one. Pathetic.
Kristin LeGard
December 1, 2025 AT 18:44Oh my god, I can’t believe someone actually wrote a 2000-word essay on MELON. Like, I bought $20 of it last week and made $80 in 3 days. You think you’re smart because you read a chart? I’m living the dream while you’re writing essays. This isn’t Wall Street. It’s crypto. And you’re not the boss of me.
Phil Bradley
December 2, 2025 AT 04:10What if… MELON isn’t meant to be traded? What if it’s a metaphor? A digital ghost haunting the crypto world, reminding us that all things-no matter how loud, how cheap, how viral-eventually fade? Maybe it’s not a coin. Maybe it’s a poem. A warning. A sigh. In a world obsessed with pumps, MELON is the only thing that didn’t scream. And maybe… that’s the most honest thing of all.