MELON Token Risk Calculator
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There’s a coin called Melon Dog (MELON) floating around crypto forums and decentralized exchanges, promising quick riches. It’s cheap-pennies per token-and that’s exactly why some people are buying it. But here’s the real question: is Melon Dog a hidden gem or just another dead-end gamble? If you’ve seen it on CoinGecko or Raydium and wondered if it’s worth your time, you’re not alone. Let’s cut through the noise.
What exactly is Melon Dog (MELON)?
Melon Dog is a meme coin built on the Solana blockchain. It launched in early 2024, right in the middle of a wave of Solana-based meme tokens trying to ride the same hype as Dogecoin and Shiba Inu. Unlike those projects, MELON has no whitepaper, no roadmap, no team bio, and no official website. There’s no documentation. No GitHub. No Twitter account with real engagement. Just a token address and a trading pair on Raydium: MELON/SOL.
It’s not a project. It’s a symbol. A ticker. A number on a chart. And that’s the problem.
The price history tells the whole story
MELON hit its all-time high of $0.07 on March 14, 2024. That’s not a typo. Seven cents. For a coin that was trading at $0 just weeks before. In less than two months, it went from worthless to nearly 350 times its starting price.
Then it crashed.
By November 2024, the price had dropped to around $0.0002. That’s a 99.7% decline from its peak. If you bought at the top, you’d need a 500x return just to break even. And that’s not happening. The trading volume? Around $100-$2,000 per day. For comparison, Dogecoin trades over $500 million daily. MELON doesn’t even register on the same scale.
This isn’t volatility. This is a dying asset.
Why does it still exist?
Because someone, somewhere, still thinks they can get lucky.
MELON’s price is so low that it tricks people into thinking they can buy millions of tokens for a few dollars. “I bought 500,000 MELON for $100!” they say. “If it goes to $0.01, I’ll be rich!” But here’s the catch: even if MELON jumped 50x to $0.01, your $100 investment would be worth $5,000. That sounds good-until you realize Dogecoin’s entire market cap is over $13 billion. MELON’s is under $200,000. It’s a ghost town.
Low price doesn’t mean low risk. It means high risk.
Trading MELON is harder than it looks
You can’t buy MELON on Coinbase or Binance. You need a Solana wallet-Phantom or Solflare. You need SOL to pay for gas fees. You need to go to Raydium, find the MELON/SOL pair, and set your slippage tolerance to 10% or higher because the order book is practically empty.
Try to trade more than $50 worth at once? You’ll get slippage of 30%, 50%, even 100%. You buy at $0.0002 and end up paying $0.0004 because there’s no one selling at your price. That’s not trading. That’s gambling with broken odds.
And if you want to sell? Good luck. The buy side is just as thin. You might have to wait hours just to get filled at a loss.
Who’s behind it? No one knows.
There’s no team. No founder. No social media presence. No Discord. No Reddit thread with more than 50 active users. No press coverage. No interviews. No audits. No KYC. Nothing.
That’s not anonymity. That’s abandonment.
Most legitimate crypto projects-even the bad ones-have at least a Twitter account or a Telegram group. MELON doesn’t. That’s a red flag so bright you could see it from space. In crypto, if you can’t find who’s running the project, you’re not investing in a coin. You’re betting on a ghost.
The numbers don’t lie
Let’s look at the facts:
- Market cap: ~$175,000 (as of November 2024)
- Circulating supply: 407,510,417 MELON (fixed, no minting or burning)
- 24-hour volume: $100-$2,000
- Volatility (30-day): 7.54%
- RSI (14-day): ~46.67 (neutral, but falling)
- 50-day SMA: $0.000625 (current price is 68% below)
- 200-day SMA: $0.003338 (current price is 94% below)
That 200-day moving average is the graveyard line. When a token trades below it for months, it’s not coming back. Not unless it gets a massive injection of new money-and there’s no sign of that happening.
Is MELON a rug pull?
There’s no public proof it’s a rug pull. But there’s also no proof it’s not.
It’s not a classic rug pull where the devs drain the liquidity pool and vanish overnight. The liquidity is still technically there. But it’s so thin that even if the devs wanted to sell, they couldn’t without crashing the price. So they didn’t. They just… stopped.
This is what happens when a meme coin runs out of hype. The pumps stop. The influencers move on. The bots shut down. And what’s left is a dead token with no buyers and no reason to exist.
Who still trades MELON?
Not institutions. Not hedge funds. Not even serious retail traders.
It’s mostly people from Brazil and other emerging markets, according to RevenueBot data, who see a $0.0002 coin and think it’s “affordable.” They don’t understand liquidity. They don’t understand slippage. They think “cheap” means “undervalued.”
It’s the same logic that made people buy Dogecoin at $0.00001 in 2017. But Dogecoin had a community. A purpose. A cult. MELON has nothing.
Should you buy MELON?
If you’re asking this question, you’re probably not ready to trade it.
Here’s the honest answer: Don’t buy MELON unless you’re willing to lose every dollar you put in.
It’s not an investment. It’s a lottery ticket with worse odds. The chance of it going up 10x is less than 1%. The chance of it going to zero? Over 90%.
If you still want to try it, treat it like a $10 casino bet-not a portfolio position. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. And never, ever use leverage. You’ll be wiped out in minutes.
What’s the future of MELON?
There isn’t one.
Industry data shows that 95% of tokens with a market cap under $500,000 die within a year. MELON’s market cap is under $200,000. It’s been in decline for eight months. No updates. No team. No community.
Chainalysis found that 68% of tokens with daily volume under $1,000 disappear from exchanges within six months. MELON’s volume is hovering around $1,000. It’s already in the danger zone.
The only thing keeping it alive is the hope of a new pump. But pumps need hype. And hype needs people. And MELON has none.
It’s not a coin. It’s a ghost.
dhirendra pratap singh
November 12, 2025 AT 16:28MELON is DEAD. Like,棺材板都钉死了 dead. Someone just posted a chart from 2024 and I cried. Not because I lost money-because I wasted 47 minutes of my life looking at it. 😭
Ashley Mona
November 12, 2025 AT 21:39Honestly? This is the most thorough breakdown I’ve seen on a meme coin. You didn’t just call it a scam-you showed why it’s a *ghost town*. The liquidity point? Chef’s kiss. 🙌 If you’re reading this and still thinking about buying MELON… take a walk. Breathe. Go pet a dog. Come back tomorrow. You’ll thank me.
Edward Phuakwatana
November 13, 2025 AT 09:01Let’s zoom out for a sec-this isn’t about MELON. It’s about the psychology of retail crypto. We’re wired to see ‘cheap’ as ‘undervalued,’ but in crypto, low price = low liquidity = low survival probability. MELON’s not a coin. It’s a behavioral trap. The devs didn’t rug pull-they just got bored. And that’s scarier. No drama. No exit. Just silence. Like a house where the lights went out and no one ever came back to turn them on. 🌌
Suhail Kashmiri
November 15, 2025 AT 07:53bro why are you even writing this? everyone knows this stuff. if you bought MELON you deserve to lose. stop feeding the zombies
Arthur Coddington
November 16, 2025 AT 12:32It’s funny how we treat crypto like it’s a casino and then act shocked when the house wins. MELON isn’t a failure-it’s a mirror. It reflects every dumb idea we’ve ever had about ‘getting rich quick.’ We don’t invest in tokens. We invest in hope. And hope? It’s the most expensive asset of all.